Day 1 Convective Outlook
 

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
VALID 17Z FRI 20/12 - 06Z SAT 21/12 2002
ISSUED: 20/12 16:48Z
FORECASTER: DAHL

SYNOPSIS

LOOKS LIKE A QUIET DAY ONE PERIOD... FAIRLY INTENSE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ERN MEDITERRANEAN SEA HAS ALREADY CEASED TO AFFECT FCST AREA. OTHER REGION OF POTENTIAL INTEREST IS INTENSE VORT MAX AND ASSOCIATED UPPER THERMAL TROUGH ATTM AFFECTING THE BALTIC STATES... BUT HAVE LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN TSTM DEVELOPMENT BENEATH ASSOCIATED THERMAL TROUGH DUE TO MINIMAL BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE...

DISCUSSION